Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-25 0.284613 0.380251 0.491531 0.628647 0.791101 0.975545 1.198843
2026-02-01 0.149043 0.256193 0.401967 0.605835 0.874547 1.207906 1.643581
2026-02-08 0.087612 0.195704 0.366687 0.633563 1.016482 1.523859 2.223579
2026-02-15 0.047363 0.143897 0.323572 0.635675 1.119189 1.796942 2.773657
2026-02-22 0.029356 0.120090 0.315058 0.684119 1.289901 2.174150 3.488075
2026-03-01 0.016686 0.096986 0.298202 0.712622 1.430402 2.516852 4.174954
2026-03-08 0.008189 0.074659 0.272893 0.718463 1.532013 2.806570 4.800523
2026-03-15 0.003211 0.054550 0.242270 0.705357 1.597102 3.041874 5.356103
2026-03-22 0.001238 0.042914 0.226994 0.718376 1.706091 3.348954 6.028584
2026-03-29 0.000323 0.032568 0.208975 0.720294 1.793031 3.623456 6.661139
2026-04-05 0.000024 0.022579 0.184186 0.699617 1.833438 3.822036 7.183257
2026-04-12 NaN 0.015414 0.163139 0.681731 1.875246 4.022671 7.713584
2026-04-19 NaN 0.011186 0.151334 0.686165 1.964211 4.311902 8.401419
2026-04-26 NaN 0.006757 0.130905 0.660279 1.987101 4.487779 8.915562
2026-05-03 NaN 0.005347 0.128853 0.688907 2.128768 4.879102 9.790153
2026-05-10 NaN 0.003549 0.119219 0.690714 2.211277 5.167909 10.506161
2026-05-17 NaN 0.003189 0.123955 0.741849 2.408430 5.671665 11.588953
2026-05-24 NaN 0.002485 0.122718 0.771914 2.559414 6.096198 12.550887
2026-05-31 NaN 0.001611 0.115372 0.778033 2.655026 6.421892 13.356204
2026-06-07 NaN 0.000835 0.103732 0.764125 2.701440 6.657000 14.014996
2026-06-14 NaN 0.000515 0.099425 0.777891 2.815298 7.022596 14.902166
2026-06-21 NaN 0.000259 0.092830 0.779912 2.899804 7.334450 15.704010
2026-06-28 NaN 0.000074 0.081786 0.758018 2.921645 7.525810 16.303344